Virginia One of Three 'Must Win' States in Presidential Election?

New poll out Friday puts Virginia votes in 'toss-up' status with Romney ahead of Obama 50 percent to 47 percent in Virginia.

The fight for Virginia votes is getting more intense. With Election Day two weeks from Tuesday, Virginia is becoming one of the ground-zero states in the presidential election and the candidates are pulling out all the stops in trying to win the state come Nov. 6. 

"I consider it one of the three crucial states," said Stuart Rothenberg, editor and publisher of the Rothenberg Political Report, a Washington-based newsletter, counting the others as Ohio and Colorado, the Richmond Times-Dispatch reported Sunday. "You've got to win two out of those three."

According to two polls released last week, Virginia's status in the presidential election has moved from leaning toward President Obama to being a "toss-up" state.

Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney is ahead 50 percent to President Obama's 47 percent among likely Virginia voters, according to a new poll released Friday.

The poll, by Rasmussen Reports, a conservative-leaning polling firm, surveyed likely voters and was taken two nights after the second presidential debate. 

An American Research Group poll released last Monday had Romney ahead by 1 percentage point in Virginia. Those who favored Romney in that poll tended to be white, age 50 and older, and male. Fifty-two percent who identified themselves as Independents in the poll said they planned to vote for Romney.

Rasmussen Reports shows that the following states have moved from "toss up" states to "leaning Romney" states:

  • Florida
  • North Carolina
  • Missouri

The states Rasmussen puts in the "toss-up" column (he notes Wisconsin, while Rothenberg notes Colorado):

  • Virginia
  • Ohio
  • Wisconsin

In the 2008 presidential election, Obama won Virginia by 52.62 percent to GOP nominee Sen. John McCain's 46.33 percent.

The survey of 750 likely voters by Rasmussen in Virginia was conducted Thursday by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95 percent level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.

University of Virginia's Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball report from Thursday about the presidential election: "We don’t have a dog in this race, but we are rooting for one thing: no tie! A 269-269 Electoral College outcome would inevitably be a national crisis on par — or worse — with the 2000 Florida cliffhanger, especially if Romney lost the popular vote."

Obama and Romney each visited Northern Virginia last week. For details on those campaign stops see:

President Obamas 'Romnesia' Speech at GMU

Romney Calls for Return to American Values

Watts October 24, 2012 at 04:57 PM
Obama up by 7 in Virginia! http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/263753-polls-obama-up-three-in-ohio-seven-in-virginia
Colter95 October 31, 2012 at 11:31 AM
Keep dreaming, Watts...
Colter95 October 31, 2012 at 11:48 AM
Latest polls: http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_swing_state_tracking_poll http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/264979-polls-show-race-tightening-in-ohio-florida-virginia It's going to be a tight race everywhere, so get out to vote, and lets actually have some real change... Romney/Ryan 2012
Colter95 October 31, 2012 at 11:50 AM
Read on and learn some things you may have not thought about... http://obamalies.net/list-of-obamas-failures http://blog.heritage.org/2012/10/18/president-obamas-taxpayer-backed-green-energy-failures/ http://lacrossetribune.com/news/opinion/patti-schmidt-list-of-obama-s-failures-is-long/article_7a139146-fec2-11e1-8e81-0019bb2963f4.html http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2012/08/obamas-foreign-policy-failures-catalogued.php http://www.facebook.com/notes/republican-security-council/the-top-10-obama-flip-flops-by-ari-fleischer/171275079638338 http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/nilegardiner/100083104/the-u-turn-president-barack-obama-top-ten-flip-flops/ http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/23/fact-check-text-of-2008-romney-op-ed-debunks-obamass-auto-bailout-attack/ You see, it's easy to run on a slogan, like Obama did in 2008... Hope and change, baby... It's much harder to do once you have a record that can be reviewed... He also said in 2008 that if he didn't get the job done in four years, that it would be a one term deal... Well, he hasn't delivered, so time to let him keep his word... Romney/Ryan 2012
Colter95 November 01, 2012 at 11:02 AM
Every voter needs to read this excellent article: http://spectator.org/archives/2012/11/01/benghazi-obamas-core-deceit/


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